US
US Interest Rates
Topic
42.1%
Accuracy
Recent Predictions
Incorrect: 11
Pending: 91
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
Jerome Powell states that a rate hike is not currently anyone's base case for the Federal Reserve's next move.
"We don't we don't take things off the table, but it isn't anybody's base case right now, anybody's b..."
Jan 28, 2026
Pending
The Federal Reserve will not implement any interest rate cuts during the current year.
"I am sticking to the predictions that there is going to be no rate cut. No rate cuts at all."
Jan 28, 2026
Pending
Interest rates are expected to remain at 4.25-4.5% following the FOMC meeting on January 28, 2026.
"And the expectation right now is to hold interest rates at their 4.25 to 4.5 level."
Jan 27, 2026
Pending
US interest rates are predicted to trend down over the next three years (by December 2028).
"over the next three years we'll probably see rates continue to trend down till he gets to what he wa..."
Dec 24, 2025
Pending
The speaker predicts Powell will be forced to cut interest rates in 2026.
"I really think that 2026 is going to be wild because I think they are going to force Powell to cut r..."
Dec 22, 2025
Pending
More interest rate cuts are expected in 2026.
"more cuts are expected into next year."
Dec 14, 2025
Pending
A loss of AAA credit rating for a country is predicted to increase borrowing costs and interest rates for everyone.
"if a country loses its AAA rating, then it's going to raise the borrowing costs for the governments,..."
Dec 8, 2025
Correct
The US Federal Reserve is predicted to implement an interest rate cut in December 2025.
"we are still well slated for an interest rate cut in December... Things are still looking green for ..."
Dec 1, 2025
Pending
The US is predicted to lower interest rates.
"US will have to have lower interest rates"
Nov 13, 2025
Correct
There is a 98.9% to 99% certainty of another FOMC rate cut at the meeting next week (from the video's publication date).
"next week, Wednesday, we have the FOMC meeting. So, we have the FOMC meeting, and I think we're goin..."
Oct 23, 2025
Pending
Expectation of five interest rate cuts in the US within the next year, concluding by the end of 2026.
"We are in the beginning of the cycle of interest rate cuts. We just seen one rate cut in in US after..."
Oct 17, 2025
Incorrect
The Fed is expected to implement two more rate cuts in 2025 and continue cutting rates into 2026.
"And we're expected to see two more cuts this year and then continue cuts into next year."
Oct 15, 2025
Pending
Potential US rate cuts in October and December could significantly boost Indian markets. If US inflation is within expectations, rate cuts are likely.
"If the interest rates are within the thought process of their you know Fed then in that case there'l..."
Sep 25, 2025
Incorrect
Traders are pricing in a greater than 70% probability of US interest rate cuts in both October and December meetings.
"traders are now pricing in a greater than 70% chance of cuts at both the October and December meetin..."
Sep 18, 2025
Incorrect
Two potential outcomes for US interest rates: either they are lowered and capital flows in, or faith in the government erodes, leading to skyrocketing rates due to a lack of US treasury purchases.
"Rates are lowered and money just comes in. The flip side to that is people do lose faith and rates s..."
Sep 13, 2025
Incorrect
The Fed faces a dilemma: cutting interest rates too little or too late could lead to a hard landing, while cutting too much could re-ignite inflation.
"Cut too little or late, hard landing. Cut too much, reignited inflation."
Sep 12, 2025
Correct
First series of US interest rate cuts expected on 2025-09-17.
"next week, Wednesday, we're expecting the first series of rate cuts to actually happen."
Sep 10, 2025
Pending
Market expectations for US interest rate cuts have significantly increased, with a 90% chance of a 25 basis point cut and a 10% chance of a 50 basis point cut. Bank of America analysts now predict two rate cuts this year.
"So the rate the rate cut probabilities jumped uh on poly market in in indeed in the CME futures rate..."
Sep 8, 2025
Correct
PPI data is expected on September 10th, followed by CPI data on September 11th, with headline CPI expected at 2.9% (vs 2.7 previous) and core CPI at 3.1% (vs 3.1 previous). These figures will influence expectations for monetary policy.
"That's on September 10th PPI. This is the producer price inflation and that's the precursor to the b..."
Sep 8, 2025
Incorrect
Bank of America analysts revised their outlook, predicting two rate cuts this year, a change from their previous stance of no cuts.
"and indeed even some analysts at the likes of Bank of America which were previously saying we we wou..."
Sep 8, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to implement a 25 basis point interest rate cut in September 2025.
"we are now 100% dialed in chat for their 25 basis point rate cut in September."
Sep 8, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to cut interest rates in September (2025).
"Honestly, there's no way Powell doesn't reduce rates in September."
Aug 27, 2025
Pending
Long-term interest rates are not expected to decrease anytime soon, especially with increasing treasury issuance and the national deficit.
"Why would you expect long rates to come down in that scenario?"
Aug 25, 2025
Pending
The Fed will implement two interest rate cuts in 2025 and three in 2026, totaling at least a 1% reduction.
"I don't think it gives the Fed quite enough ammunition to really deny making those Fed rate cuts tha..."
Aug 20, 2025
Pending
Jerome Powell is predicted to reduce interest rates in the September 2025 FOMC meeting.
"Powell's got absolutely no excuse for not reducing rates in the next FOMC meeting in September... Po..."
Aug 12, 2025
Pending
There is a 90% probability that the Federal Reserve will begin lowering interest rates by at least 0.25%.
"And right now, it's predicting a 90% chance that the Fed will start to lower rates by at least a qua..."
Aug 4, 2025
Correct
The US Federal Reserve will implement three interest rate cuts in 2025.
"The highest probability is we're going to get three rate cuts this year."
Aug 4, 2025
Pending
A US interest rate cut is almost guaranteed in September 2025.
"So now we're almost, almost guaranteed an interest rate cut in September."
Aug 4, 2025
Pending
There is a good chance the US Federal Reserve will implement a 50 basis point (double) rate cut in September 2025.
"there is a good chance that they actually go to two rate cuts instead of one because they're so, so,..."
Aug 4, 2025
Pending
The speaker believes an interest rate cut is almost guaranteed by the Fed in September 2025.
"now we're almost, almost guaranteed an interest rate cut in September."
Aug 4, 2025
Pending
The US Federal Reserve is predicted to implement three interest rate cuts in 2025.
"The highest probability is we're going to get three rate cuts this year."
Aug 4, 2025
Pending
There is a good chance of two interest rate cuts (rather than one) by the Fed in September 2025 if inflation numbers remain low.
"if we get good inflation numbers, or bad inflation numbers, low inflation numbers between now and th..."
Aug 4, 2025
Pending
The US Federal Reserve is predicted to cut interest rates soon.
"The macro environment. We're getting ready to cut interest rates."
Jul 31, 2025
Pending
Joshua Jake predicts a 25 basis point interest rate cut in September 2025, followed by one additional cut.
"I do believe we'll get the first 25 basis points but in September followed by one more."
Jul 30, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is compelled to slash interest rates to refinance exploding government deficits.
"The Fed must slash rates now and refinance cheap or reace these deficits exploding."
Jul 30, 2025
Pending
'Mega' interest rate cuts are predicted for the later part of 2025 due to $9 trillion in government debt.
"I do think that the real reason why we're going to see in the later part of this year these mega cut..."
Jul 30, 2025
Pending
A significant reduction in interest rates is not anticipated in the immediate future.
"Based on the information we have today, it doesn't look like we're going to see a big drop in intere..."
Jul 28, 2025
Pending
If the Federal Reserve does not lower interest rates significantly in 2025 and a new leader is appointed in 2026 who favors aggressive cuts, interest rates could decrease in 2026.
"if Jerome Powell doesn't cut interest rates a lot in 2025, and now here comes 2026, the Federal Rese..."
Jul 28, 2025
Pending
US interest rates are predicted to decrease, leading to a hot economy that will benefit risk assets like Bitcoin.
"The first thing is interest rates are probably going to come down which means more money in the econ..."
Jul 5, 2025
Pending
If a July 2025 interest rate cut does not occur, it will be postponed to September 2025.
"If not, then I think we have to postpone it for September."
Jul 3, 2025
Pending
A July 2025 interest rate cut is predicted if the upcoming inflation numbers (July 15th, 2025 reading) are 2.4% or below.
"If inflation numbers come in at, I would say, 2.4%, 2.3% or below, then I think there's a good chanc..."
Jul 3, 2025
Pending
US interest rates are predicted to be cut to approximately 1% in September 2025.
"So we will cut uh they will get back down to low rates again. Probably close to 1%. They're not goin..."
Jul 1, 2025
Pending
US interest rates are predicted to be cut to around 1% in September 2025, not earlier in the summer.
"They will get back down to low rates again. Probably close to 1%. They're not going to do it this su..."
Jul 1, 2025
Pending
If there are to be three US interest rate cuts, they will occur within the next six months (by December 2025).
"If we're going to get three rate cuts, they're going to happen in the next six months."
Jun 30, 2025
Pending
The first US interest rate cut is predicted to occur in July 2025.
"I think we're actually going to get the first rate cut in July... I think the market's pricing is wr..."
Jun 30, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates 'anytime soon' as current economic data does not support such action.
"He has no intention of cutting interest rates anytime soon because data does not support it."
Jun 20, 2025
Pending
Predicted that policy makers will lower US interest rates as early as July 2025.
"policy makers should be looking to lower interest rates as early as next month."
Jun 20, 2025
Incorrect
The US Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates in 2025.
"I actually believe that the Fed cannot cut rates, or they have no reason to cut rates."
Jun 19, 2025
Pending
The number of anticipated Fed rate cuts for 2025 is likely to decrease from the previous projection of two cuts, due to rising inflation.
"The last time that we had it, they voted, I think it was about two this year. It's probably going to..."
Jun 18, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve anticipates the earliest possible interest rate cut will be in September.
"The Federal Reserve decided to once again pause interest rate cuts for the foreseeable future with t..."
Jun 18, 2025
Incorrect